{"id":39057,"date":"2018-05-14T11:06:39","date_gmt":"2018-05-14T05:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.editage.cn\/insights\/%e5%b9%95%e5%90%8e%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%97%e7%9b%91%e7%9d%a3%e7%9a%84%e7%ae%a1%e7%90%86%e8%80%85%e5%92%8c%e5%ae%89%e9%80%b8%e7%94%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%81%87%e8%af%b4"},"modified":"2026-01-07T16:23:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T10:53:52","slug":"mu-hou-bu-shou-jian-du-de-guan-li-zhe-he-an-yi-sheng-huo-jia-shuo-1967","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.editage.cn\/insights\/mu-hou-bu-shou-jian-du-de-guan-li-zhe-he-an-yi-sheng-huo-jia-shuo-1967\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e55\u540e\uff1a\u4e0d\u53d7\u76d1\u7763\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u548c\u5b89\u9038\u751f\u6d3b\u5047\u8bf4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4e1c\u4eac\u5de5\u4e1a\u5927\u5b66<\/span> (Tokyo Institute of Technology) <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u5bf9\u5b89\u9038\u751f\u6d3b\u5047\u8bf4<\/span> (Quite Life Hypothesis) <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u5e76\u9488\u5bf9\u5b83\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u673a\u5236\u3002\u672c\u6587\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u8fd1\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u540e\u76d1\u7763\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u666e\u53ca\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\u5c06\u5438\u5f15\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u4e4b\u5916\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u9886\u57df\u4ece\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u548c\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u51e0\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u76f8\u4e92\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u65e8\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u6216\u5176\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u758f\u5ffd\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\u3002\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u8003\u8651\u5047\u8bf4<\/span> (Career Concern Hypothesis) <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u53d7\u76d1\u7763\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u907f\u5f00\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u5728\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u53ef\u80fd\u906d\u9047\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b89\u9038\u751f\u6d3b\u5047\u8bf4\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u76d1\u7763\u4f1a\u6fc0\u52b1\u559c\u6b22\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u627f\u62c5\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e9b\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u81ea\u7531\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u7406\u8bba<\/span> (Free Cash Flow Theory)<span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\uff0c\u76d1\u7763\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w23804#fromrss\" style=\"color:blue; text-decoration:underline\">Ikeda<span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u3001<\/span>Inoue <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u548c<\/span> Watanabe<\/a> <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7684\u300a<\/span>Enjoying the quiet life: corporate decision-making by entrenched managers<span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u300b\u65e8\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u68c0\u9a8c\u65e5\u672c\u4f01\u4e1a\u503e\u5411\u4f7f\u7528\u54ea\u4e2a\u5047\u8bf4\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u76ee\u524d\u5927\u91cf\u6587\u732e\u7740\u91cd\u7814\u7a76\u4e3a\u4e86\u83b7\u53d6\u4e2a\u4eba\u5229\u76ca\u800c\u5bf9\u65e0\u5229\u53ef\u56fe\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u5c11\u6709\u6587\u732e\u5173\u6ce8\u5bf9\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u56fe\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u8db3\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e3b\u9898\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5c06\u6587\u732e\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e0d\u5bf9\u79f0\u6027\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u6bcf\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6210\u672c\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e0d\u6295\u8d44\u67d0\u4e2a\u6709\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u800c\u9519\u5931\u7684\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u53ef\u884c\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u635f\u5931\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u9884\u4f30\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u76d1\u7763\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u9650\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7684\u89c4\u8bad\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u80a1\u4e1c\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u7814\u7a76\u80a1\u4e1c\u76d1\u7763\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u8db3\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6765\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5728\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ee9\u6548\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u7ec4\u548c\u521b\u65b0\u7f13\u6162\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u8db3\u60c5\u51b5\u666e\u904d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8be5\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u3002\u9881\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u672a\u80fd\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e00\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u4ea4\u53c9\u80a1\u4e1c\u548c\u5916\u56fd\u80a1\u4e1c\u7ec4\u6210\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u524d\u8005\u4e0e\u516c\u53f8\u7ba1\u7406\u5c42\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5bbd\u677e\uff1b\u4ea4\u53c9\u80a1\u4e1c\u7531\u6765\u81ea\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u8054\u5408\u4f01\u4e1a\u96c6\u56e2\u6216\u8d37\u6b3e\u4eba\u7ec4\u6210\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u5219\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e25\u683c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6839\u636e\u80a1\u6743\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5212\u5206\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u6240\u53d7\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5229\u7528\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u8d44\u672c\u3001\u7814\u53d1\u3001\u5e76\u8d2d\u548c\u4e1a\u52a1\u64a4\u9000\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u6765\u91cf\u5316\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u62c5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5982\u679c\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u8003\u8651\u5047\u8bf4\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u4ea4\u53c9\u80a1\u4e1c\u7684\u5bbd\u677e\u76d1\u7763\u4f1a\u4e3a\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u627f\u62c5\u98ce\u9669\u63d0\u4f9b\u540e\u8def\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u4e1c\u4e86\u89e3\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53cd\u5bf9\u5177\u6709\u8fdc\u89c1\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u5728\u5b89\u9038\u751f\u6d3b\u5047\u8bf4\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u4e1c\u6301\u6709\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u4f5c\u53ea\u4f1a\u8d8a\u677e\u61c8\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4f5c\u8005\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u6587\u732e\u652f\u6301\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u5047\u8bf4\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/10.1086\/376950\" style=\"color:blue; text-decoration:underline\">Bertrand <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u548c<\/span> Mullainathan (2003)<\/a> <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f15\u5165\u7684\u53cd\u6536\u8d2d\u6cd5\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5f53\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u6ca1\u6709\u9762\u4e34\u6536\u8d2d\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u89c4\u8bad\u6743\u529b\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u91cd\u7ec4\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4e1a\u7ee9\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u4ea4\u53c9\u6301\u80a1\u662f\u9884\u9632\u6536\u8d2d\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53cb\u5584\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5411\u6076\u610f\u7ade\u4ef7\u8005\u51fa\u552e\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u5f88\u4f4e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u5b83\u770b\u4f5c\u53cd\u6536\u8d2d\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u8bc6\u522b\u5e76\u5f25\u8865\u4e86\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6295\u8d44\u4e0b\u964d\u6216\u589e\u52a0\u65e0\u6cd5\u8868\u660e\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u8db3\u6216\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u4ea4\u53c9\u6301\u80a1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8f83\u5927\u548c\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u62c5\u884c\u4e3a\u8f83\u5dee\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ea4\u53c9\u80a1\u4e1c\u901a\u5e38\u65e0\u6cd5\u51fa\u8ba9\u7ee9\u6548\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u516c\u53f8\u4e1a\u7ee9\u4e0d\u4f73\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4ea4\u53c9\u6301\u80a1\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0in 0in 10pt\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8fd8\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8427\u6761\u671f\u548c\u7e41\u8363\u671f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u522b\uff0c\u4e0d\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff08\u5982<\/span> 20 <span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ea4\u53c9\u6301\u80a1\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5236\u9020\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u975e\u5236\u9020\u4f01\u4e1a\u56e0\u5176\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u80a1\u6743\u7ed3\u6784\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u5206\u6790\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u5c06\u4ea4\u53c9\u80a1\u4e1c\u5206\u6210\u51e0\u5927\u7c7b\u6765\u6bd4\u8f83\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u4e1c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e92\u76f8\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5728\u4e8e\u5176\u7efc\u5408\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0in 0in 10pt\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><b><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u54cd\u5e94\u5e73\u9759\u7684\u547c\u5524<\/span><\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0in 0in 10pt\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" xml:lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4f5c\u8005\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u5b89\u9038\u751f\u6d3b\u5047\u8bf4\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u4e0e\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\uff0c\u4ea4\u53c9\u6301\u80a1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u76d1\u7763\u4e0d\u529b\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u4f5c\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u5e76\u963b\u788d\u4e86\u5176\u589e\u957f\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5bf9\u7b56\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8fc7\u673a\u6784\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u548c\u72ec\u7acb\u8463\u4e8b\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u6765\u52a0\u5f3a\u6cbb\u7406\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f25\u8865\u76d1\u7ba1\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin:0in 0in 10pt\"><span style=\"font-size:11pt\"><span style=\"line-height:115%\"><span style=\"font-family:Calibri,sans-serif\"><span lang=\"ZH-CN\" style=\"font-family:SimSun\" 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